[1]王跃峰,陈兴伟,陈莹.基于多时间尺度SPI的闽江流域干湿变化与洪旱事件识别[J].山地学报,2014,(01):52.
 WANG Yuefeng,CHEN Xingwei,CHEN Ying.Based on Multiple Time Scales of SPI Dry/wet Conditions Variation and Identification of Flood and Drought Events in Minjiang River of Fujian[J].Mountain Research,2014,(01):52.
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基于多时间尺度SPI的闽江流域干湿变化与洪旱事件识别()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2014年01期
页码:
52
栏目:
山地环境
出版日期:
2014-01-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Based on Multiple Time Scales of SPI Dry/wet Conditions Variation and Identification of Flood and Drought Events in Minjiang River of Fujian
作者:
王跃峰;陈兴伟;陈莹
1.福建师范大学地理科学学院,福建 福州 350007;
2.湿润亚热带山地生态国家重点实验室培育基地,福建 福州 350007;
3.福建省陆地灾害监测评估工程技术研究中心,福建 福州 350007
Author(s):
WANG YuefengCHEN XingweiCHEN Ying
1.College of geographical science Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350007,China;
2.Cultivation Base of State Key Laboratory of Humid Subtropical Mountain Ecology,Fuzhou 350007, China;
3.Fujian Provincial Engineering Research Center for Monitoring and Assessing Terrestrial Disasters,Fuzhou 350007,China
关键词:
标准化降水指数(SPI)时间尺度水文响应洪旱事件闽江流域
Keywords:
Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI)time scaleshydrological responseflood and droughtMinjiang River basin
分类号:
P333.1
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为分析闽江流域气候干湿变化及其径流响应,以闽江流域25个气象站1960—2006年逐月降水资料以及竹岐水文站月径流资料为基础,采用标准化降水指数(Standardized Precipitation Index,简称SPI)和Pearson相关分析法进行研究,结果表明:1.长时间尺度的SPI在分析气候干湿变化上更具实用性,更能清楚反映长期干湿变化特征;2.短时间尺度(1~3个月)SPI与径流存在高相关性,其中2个月时间尺度的SPI与径流的相关性最强;且短时间尺度上二者的相关性有季节差异,表现为春、夏季(R>0.75)相关性高于秋、冬季(R<0.7);3.2个月尺度SPI序列能够较精确地识别流域性的特大洪水事件和主要旱灾,对流域性特大洪水的监测和预报具有潜在应用价值。
Abstract:
Based on 25 meteorological monthly precipitation and discharges in Zhuqi Hydrological Station from 1960 to 2006,the climate dry/wet changes and its hydrological response are analyzed through Standardized Precipitation Index and Pearson correlation coefficient in the Minjiang River basin of Fujian,China.The results are as following:Firstly,when analyzing the climate dry/wet changes,SPI at the longer time scales show greater utility and are able to reflect long period characteristics berrte.Secondly,there are high Pearson correlations between the SPI and discharges at shorter time scales (1~3 months) and the maximum correlation is found on the time scales of 2 months;what’s more,there are important seasonal differences in the response of the river discharges to shorter time scales of SPI,and the correlations of spring and summer (R>075) are found higher than that in fall and winter(R<070).However,a valuable fact is found that SPI at 2-month time scale can recognize the main flood and drought events and what’s more,it has potential usefulness for basin flood monitoring and predicting.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date):2013-07-14;改回日期(Accepted) : 2013-08-17。
基金项目(Foundation item):2012年福建省公益所专项(N00298);国家自然科学基金(50979015)。 [Supported by the Projection of Public Welfare of Fujian Province (N0.0298) and the Projection of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50979015).]
作者简介(Biography):王跃峰(1987-),男(汉),山东临清人,硕士研究生,研究方向:水文水资源学。[Wang Yuefeng(1987-),male(han),born in Linqing Shandong,graduate student,major in hydrology and water resource.] E-mail:wyf2046@163.com *
通信作者(Corresponding author):陈兴伟(1963-),教授,主要从事水资源与水环境研究。[Chen Xingwei(1963-),professor,major in water resource and water environment.]E-mail:cxwchen215@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01