[1]刘友存,侯兰功*,焦克勤,等.全球气候指数与天山地区气温变化遥相关分析[J].山地学报,2016,(06):679-689.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000174]
　LIU Youcun,HOU Langong*,JIAO Keqing,et al.On the teleconnection patterns to air temperature in the Tianshan Mountain, China[J].Mountain Research,2016,(06):679-689.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000174]
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全球气候指数与天山地区气温变化遥相关分析()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2016年06期
页码:
679-689
栏目:
山地生态环境
出版日期:
2016-12-08

文章信息/Info

Title:
On the teleconnection patterns to air temperature in the Tianshan Mountain, China
文章编号:
1008-2786-(2016)6-679-11
作者:
刘友存1; 侯兰功2*; 焦克勤3; 韩添丁3; 李元寿4; 叶柏生3
1. 江西理工大学资源与环境工程学院, 赣州 341000;
2. 西南科技大学土木工程与建筑学院, 绵阳621010;
3. 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 兰州 730000;
4. 中国气象科学研究院, 北京100081
Author(s):
LIU Youcun1;  HOU Langong2*;  JIAO Keqing3;  HAN Tianding3;  LI Yuanshou4;  YE Baisheng3
1.School of Resources and Environmental Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China;
2.School of Civil Engineering and Architectural, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang 621010, China;
3.Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China;
4.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
关键词:
气候变化; 气候指数; 气温; 天山
Keywords:
climate change;  climatic index;  air temperature;  Tianshan Mountain
分类号:
P333.1
DOI:
10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000174
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
依据天山地区40个气象站点的实测气温资料和同期的全球气候指数,运用线性倾向估计和相关分析等方法,分析近63年来天山地区气温变化特征及其对全球气候变化的响应。初步得到以下结论:天山地区平均升温幅度为0.306℃/10a;南亚季风季风指数(SASMI)是影响天山地区气温变化的主要气候指数,春季SASMI与四季的气温均呈现正相关;夏季SASMI与春季气温呈现负相关,而与夏季气温呈现正、负两种相关;冬季SASMI与夏、秋、冬季气温均呈现正相关,说明春、冬SASMI对四季的升温均有一定影响。太平洋10年涛动(PDO)是影响天山气温变化的另一较为主要气候指数,夏季PDO与夏季气温呈现负相关,与冬季气温呈现正相关;秋季PDO与夏秋季气温均呈现负相关。夏季北大西洋涛动NAO与春季气温呈现负相关,与夏季气温呈现正负两种相关;夏冬季太平洋北美涛动(PNAO)与冬季气温呈现正相关,秋季印度洋偶极子(IOD)与春季气温呈现正相关。此外,上述气候指数对气温变化的影响,在空间上存在一定的差异性。
Abstract:
Air temperature variation in Tianshan region and its responses to global climate change are being widely concerned in recent years. In this paper, we used linear tendency estimate and Pearson Correlation Coefficient method to analyze the characteristics of temperature changes in Tianshan Mountain, and to investigate the responses of air temperature variation to global climate change. The data information consists of measured air temperature datasets of 40 meteorological stations over the past 60 years in Tianshan region and global climate indices over the same period. Conclusions of the study are as follows: The average increasing rate of temperature in Tianshan region is 0.306 C/10a, which shows a temporal difference. Firstly, SASMI(South Asian Summer Monsoon Index)is the climate index of the last importance that affects the air temperature in Tianshan Mountain. Spring SASMI has a positive correlation to the temperature of the four seasons, and summer SASMI negatively related to the spring temperature shows the positive and negative correlation to summer temperature, and SASMI in winter is characterized by positive correlation relation with the air temperature in summer, autumn and winter, indicating that SASMI in summer and winter plays a certain role in promoting the four seasons' temperature. Secondly, PDO(Pacific Decadal Oscillation)is the main climatic index that has an effect on Tianshan area temperature changes, and summer PDO expresses a negative relationship with the temperature in summer, while positively correlated to the temperature in winter, and autumn PDO exhibits the negative correlation to the temperature both in summer and autumn. Thirdly, summer NAO(North Atlantic Oscillation)displays a negative correlation to the temperature in spring and reflects positive and negative correlation relationship with the temperature in summer. Fourthly, the PNA(PacificNorth American Oscillation)both in summer and winter are positively related to the winter temperature. And then the autumn IOD(Indian Ocean Dipole)represents a positive correlation to the spring air temperature. In addition, the impacts of all of these climatic indices above on temperature changes have a spatial difference. Having a objectively understanding of the features of modern climatic change in Tianshan Mountain is feasible based on our results. This study provides a scientific basis for further carrying out the impacts of global climate change on the climate of Tianshan Mountain and offers a meaningful reference to developing strategies dealing with climatic variation.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
基金项目(Foundation item):国家自然科学基金(41471001,41271035); 国家留学基金委公派访问学者项目(201408120025); 四川省教育厅自然科学项目(15ZA0123)[National Nature Science Foundation of China(41471001, 41271035); National Scholarship Foundation of China(201408120025)and Natural Science Project of Department of Education in Sichuan province(15ZA0123)]
作者简介(Biography):刘友存(1977-), 男, 河北迁安人, 博士,主要从事水文水资源等方面的研究工作 [Liu Youcun, male,Ph.D, mainly engaged in hydrology and water resource research] E-mail: liuyoucun@gmail.com
*通信作者(Corresponding author):侯兰功(1979-), 男, 安徽淮南人,博士, 副教授,主要从事水文水资源等方面的研究工作 [Hou Langong, male, Ph.D,associate professor, mainly engaged in hydrology and water resource research] E-mail: soundskyhlg@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2016-11-30