[1]吴姣姣a,邓 鑫b,徐定德c*.地震重灾区农户灾害风险认知与撤离意愿和搬迁意愿:来自中国四川的证据[J].山地学报,2021,(4):552-562.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000619]
　WU Jiaojiaoa,DENG Xinb,XU Dingdec*.Disaster Risk Perception, Evacuation and Relocation Willingness of Farmers in Earthquake-Stricken Areas: Evidence from Sichuan Province, China[J].Mountain Research,2021,(4):552-562.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000619]
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地震重灾区农户灾害风险认知与撤离意愿和搬迁意愿:来自中国四川的证据()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2021年第4期
页码:
552-562
栏目:
山区发展
出版日期:
2021-07-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Disaster Risk Perception, Evacuation and Relocation Willingness of Farmers in Earthquake-Stricken Areas: Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
文章编号:
1008-2786-(2021)4-552-11
作者:
吴姣姣a; 邓 鑫b; 徐定德c*
四川农业大学 a.管理学院; b.经济学院; c.四川省农村发展研究中心,成都 611130
Author(s):
WU Jiaojiaoa;  DENG Xinb;  XU Dingdec*
a.College of Management; b. College of Economics; c.Sichuan Rural Development Research Center,Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130,China
关键词:
风险认知;  撤离意愿;  搬迁意愿;  汶川地震;  芦山地震
Keywords:
risk perception;  willingness to evacuate;  willingness to relocate;  Wenchuan earthquake;  Lushan earthquake
分类号:
K901.8
DOI:
10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000619
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
地震给人类的生命和财产安全造成了巨大的威胁和伤害,有效的撤离和合理的搬迁能够保障居民的生命和财产安全。然而,少有研究系统探索居民灾害风险认知和其自发的撤离意愿和搬迁意愿间的相关关系。本研究利用四川省汶川地震和芦山地震重灾区327户农户调查数据,分析农户灾害风险认知、撤离意愿和搬迁意愿特征,构建多元线性回归探究农户灾害风险认知与其撤离意愿和搬迁意愿的相关关系。结果发现:(1)面临地震灾害威胁,农户具有强烈的撤离和搬迁意愿,愿意撤离和愿意搬迁的农户分别占61%和46%,不愿撤离和不愿搬迁的农户各占27%和45%。(2)农户在灾害发生时的撤离意愿和搬迁意愿具有显著性差异。总体来说,灾害发生时对于同一农户而言,其撤离意愿高于搬迁意愿。(3)农户灾害风险认知各维度得分均值为40～90,波动较大。其中,农户对灾害再次发生的可能性认知得分最低,对灾害抵御态度感知得分最高,综合认知得分均值为65.50。(4)农户对灾害越了解,抵御态度越强烈,其撤离意愿越强。农户对灾害抵御态度越强,其搬迁意愿对应提高。本研究从农户自发撤离和搬迁意愿出发,旨在加深对广大地震重灾区农户撤离和搬迁行为决策的理解,进而为区域灾害风险管理相关政策制定提供启示。
Abstract:
Earthquakes pose great risks to people and property. Effective evacuation and relocation strategies can mitigate some of these risks for residents of earthquake-prone areas. However, few studies have systematically explored the relationship between residents' perception of earthquake risk and their willingness to spontaneously evacuate and relocate. Based on a survey of 327 households in the worst-hit areas of the Wenchuan and Lushan earthquakes in Sichuan province, China, this paper analyzed the characteristics of farmers' disaster risk perception, willingness to evacuation, and willingness to relocation. A multiple linear regression model was constructed to explore the relationships between these factors. The results show that:(1)When faced with the threat of an earthquake, farmers had strong willingness to evacuate and relocate; 61% of them reported willingness to evacuate and 46% were willing to relocate, while 27% were unwilling to evacuate and 45% were unwilling to relocate.(2)There were significant differences in the evacuation willingness and relocation willingness of farmers in the event of disaster. In general, the evacuation willingness of the same household was stronger than the relocation willingness when the disaster occurs.(3)The average score of each dimension of farmers' disaster risk perception ranged between 40 and 90, with large differences between dimensions. Among them, the perception of the possibility of a disaster happening again scored the lowest, while the attitude perception score of disaster resistance was the highest, and the average comprehensive perception score was 65.50.(4)Farmers with greater knowledge of disasters and stronger willingness to participate in disaster prevention were more willing to evacuate. Farmers with stronger willingness to participate in disaster resistance were also more willing to relocate. This study deepens our understanding of the evacuation and relocation decision-making behavior of farmers in earthquake-stricken areas, which will help to inform the formulation of regional disaster risk management-related policies.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date):2021-04-07; 改回日期(Accepted date):2021-07-29
基金项目(Foundation item):国家自然科学基金青年项目(41801221)。[Youth of National Natural Science Foundation of China(41801221)]
作者简介(Biography):吴姣姣(1999-),女,四川达州人,本科生,主要研究方向:灾害风险管理。[WU Jiaojiao(1999-), female, born in Dazhou, Sichuan province, bachelor, research on disaster risk management]E-mail:w98001@126.com
*通讯作者(Corresponding author):徐定德(1990-),男,博士,副教授,主要研究方向:灾害风险管理。[XU Dingde(1990-), male, Ph.D., associate professor, research on disaster risk management]E-mail:dingdexu@126.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-07-30